European aviation. UK lags EU in opening up and in capacity recovery
In the past five weeks Europe has risen from worst-performing region ranked by seats as a percentage of 2019 levels to third out of six. The key driver has been an easing of international travel restrictions.
Europe's total seat numbers are 36.5% below 2019 levels in the week commencing 26-Jul-2021.
Although this is not very different from last week's -37.0%, Europe has moved from fourth to third in the regional ranking this week. The Middle East, where seat capacity is down by 46.8% versus 2019, remains at the bottom. This week (week commencing 26-Jul-2021), Africa is down by 39.8%, Asia Pacific by 38.7%, Latin America by 28.7%, and North America by 23.5%.
In addition to providing more certainty and consistency over its green/amber/red lists, the UK needs to address the issue of testing – in particular the cost of testing and its necessity for fully vaccinated travellers.
- Europe has 23.4 million seats this week vs 36.8 million – down 37% vs the same week of 2019. Europe is now third behind N. America and Lat Am on this measure.
- Europe's schedules project capacity up from 34% of 2019 in 2Q2021 to 68% in 3Q2021. Europe's two leading LCCs plan big increases in 3Q2021.
- EU is making better progress than UK with easing international travel restrictions.
- The UK continues to lag Europe-wide capacity trends.
- The UK needs to address the cost of testing for international travellers.